Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
26°C 38%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
34%
26°C
38%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$88 KL.
1%
23°C
$365 KL.
4%
24°C
$557 KL.
13%
25°C
$181 KL.
34%
26°C
$359 KL.
38%
27°C
$674 KL.
13%
28°C
$303 KL.
2%
29°C
$374 KL.
2%
30°C
$138 KL.
1%
31°C
$191 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,401Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,401Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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