Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 7 centered on 25°C, driving the market's 41.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 26°C. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and a weak frontal passage create the narrow spread across 24–27°C outcomes, as afternoon mixing and solar heating remain sensitive to small timing shifts. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect post-heatwave stabilization without strong high-pressure dominance. Traders monitor updated 00Z and 12Z model runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the daily maximum for any last adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
25°C 42%
26°C 39%
27°C 11%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
42%
26°C
39%
27°C
11%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 39%
27°C 11%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$410 KL.
1%
23°C
$96 KL.
3%
24°C
$640 KL.
9%
25°C
$322 KL.
42%
26°C
$444 KL.
39%
27°C
$750 KL.
11%
28°C
$169 KL.
3%
29°C
$142 KL.
1%
30°C
$32 KL.
<1%
31°C
$75 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$457 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 7 centered on 25°C, driving the market's 41.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 26°C. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and a weak frontal passage create the narrow spread across 24–27°C outcomes, as afternoon mixing and solar heating remain sensitive to small timing shifts. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect post-heatwave stabilization without strong high-pressure dominance. Traders monitor updated 00Z and 12Z model runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the daily maximum for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,536Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 7 centered on 25°C, driving the market's 41.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 26°C. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and a weak frontal passage create the narrow spread across 24–27°C outcomes, as afternoon mixing and solar heating remain sensitive to small timing shifts. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect post-heatwave stabilization without strong high-pressure dominance. Traders monitor updated 00Z and 12Z model runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the daily maximum for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,536Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 7 centered on 25°C, driving the market's 41.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 26°C. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and a weak frontal passage create the narrow spread across 24–27°C outcomes, as afternoon mixing and solar heating remain sensitive to small timing shifts. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect post-heatwave stabilization without strong high-pressure dominance. Traders monitor updated 00Z and 12Z model runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the daily maximum for any last adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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