Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$77,462 KL.
$77,462 KL.
May 2, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$77,462 KL.
$77,462 KL.
May 2, 2026
18°C or below
$5,304 KL.
No
19°C
$2,825 KL.
No
20°C
$3,754 KL.
No
21°C
$3,236 KL.
No
22°C
$6,252 KL.
No
23°C
$8,359 KL.
No
24°C
$11,640 KL.
No
25°C
$11,130 KL.
Yes
26°C
$9,532 KL.
No
27°C
$7,767 KL.
No
28°C or higher
$7,664 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$77,462Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$77,462Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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