Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 8?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 8?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$91,040 KL.
$91,040 KL.
May 8, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$91,040 KL.
$91,040 KL.
May 8, 2026
8°C or below
$738 KL.
No
9°C
$1,271 KL.
No
10°C
$2,234 KL.
No
11°C
$6,695 KL.
No
12°C
$12,295 KL.
Yes
13°C
$13,393 KL.
No
14°C
$21,968 KL.
No
15°C
$11,371 KL.
No
16°C
$7,036 KL.
No
17°C
$6,967 KL.
No
18°C or higher
$7,070 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$91,040Ngày kết thúc
May 8, 2026Thị trường mở
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$91,040Ngày kết thúc
May 8, 2026Thị trường mở
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp