Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 16°C at Wellington International Airport on April 25, driven by official hourly observations from the automated weather station, which peaked at this mark midday under mostly sunny skies and developing northerly winds advecting mild maritime air. This aligns precisely with MetService's extended forecast issued April 22, projecting a 16°C maximum amid stable autumn conditions consistent with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook for April highs around 15–17°C. Historical climatology supports this, as Wellington's April average daily maximum is approximately 16°C. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heating spike or northerly surge before sunset, but declining solar angles and model consensus indicate low risk, with final daily summaries expected from MetService shortly after midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on April 25?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 25?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$121,380 KL.
$121,380 KL.
Apr 25, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$121,380 KL.
$121,380 KL.
Apr 25, 2026
9°C or below
$2,488 KL.
No
10°C
$2,677 KL.
No
11°C
$5,245 KL.
No
12°C
$3,556 KL.
No
13°C
$4,626 KL.
No
14°C
$10,893 KL.
No
15°C
$31,486 KL.
No
16°C
$16,644 KL.
Yes
17°C
$23,284 KL.
No
18°C
$11,824 KL.
No
19°C or higher
$8,658 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 16°C at Wellington International Airport on April 25, driven by official hourly observations from the automated weather station, which peaked at this mark midday under mostly sunny skies and developing northerly winds advecting mild maritime air. This aligns precisely with MetService's extended forecast issued April 22, projecting a 16°C maximum amid stable autumn conditions consistent with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook for April highs around 15–17°C. Historical climatology supports this, as Wellington's April average daily maximum is approximately 16°C. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heating spike or northerly surge before sunset, but declining solar angles and model consensus indicate low risk, with final daily summaries expected from MetService shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 23, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Khối lượng
$121,380Ngày kết thúc
Apr 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 23, 2026, 12:14 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 16°C at Wellington International Airport on April 25, driven by official hourly observations from the automated weather station, which peaked at this mark midday under mostly sunny skies and developing northerly winds advecting mild maritime air. This aligns precisely with MetService's extended forecast issued April 22, projecting a 16°C maximum amid stable autumn conditions consistent with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook for April highs around 15–17°C. Historical climatology supports this, as Wellington's April average daily maximum is approximately 16°C. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heating spike or northerly surge before sunset, but declining solar angles and model consensus indicate low risk, with final daily summaries expected from MetService shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$121,380Ngày kết thúc
Apr 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 23, 2026, 12:14 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 16°C at Wellington International Airport on April 25, driven by official hourly observations from the automated weather station, which peaked at this mark midday under mostly sunny skies and developing northerly winds advecting mild maritime air. This aligns precisely with MetService's extended forecast issued April 22, projecting a 16°C maximum amid stable autumn conditions consistent with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook for April highs around 15–17°C. Historical climatology supports this, as Wellington's April average daily maximum is approximately 16°C. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heating spike or northerly surge before sunset, but declining solar angles and model consensus indicate low risk, with final daily summaries expected from MetService shortly after midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp