Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a cool winter day ahead for Wellington on August 5, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 9°C amid typical Southern Hemisphere mid-winter conditions and possible high-pressure influence suppressing warming. This aligns with climatological averages of 11–12°C highs for the month while reflecting short-term cooling signals, positioning the 9°C and 10°C outcomes as market leaders at combined implied probabilities exceeding 78%. Forecast uncertainty remains due to model variability in cloud cover and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with traders weighting consensus from agencies like MetService and NIWA. Updated model runs and official briefings in coming days could shift sentiment if warmer advection develops.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 5?
9°C 51%
10°C 30%
8°C 18%
7°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
8%
8°C
18%
9°C
51%
10°C
30%
11°C
5%
12°C
1%
13°C or higher
2%
9°C 51%
10°C 30%
8°C 18%
7°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
3°C or below
$10 KL.
<1%
4°C
$10 KL.
<1%
5°C
$10 KL.
1%
6°C
$22 KL.
1%
7°C
$25 KL.
8%
8°C
$0 KL.
18%
9°C
$30 KL.
51%
10°C
$26 KL.
30%
11°C
$5 KL.
5%
12°C
$10 KL.
1%
13°C or higher
$10 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a cool winter day ahead for Wellington on August 5, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 9°C amid typical Southern Hemisphere mid-winter conditions and possible high-pressure influence suppressing warming. This aligns with climatological averages of 11–12°C highs for the month while reflecting short-term cooling signals, positioning the 9°C and 10°C outcomes as market leaders at combined implied probabilities exceeding 78%. Forecast uncertainty remains due to model variability in cloud cover and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with traders weighting consensus from agencies like MetService and NIWA. Updated model runs and official briefings in coming days could shift sentiment if warmer advection develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$157Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a cool winter day ahead for Wellington on August 5, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 9°C amid typical Southern Hemisphere mid-winter conditions and possible high-pressure influence suppressing warming. This aligns with climatological averages of 11–12°C highs for the month while reflecting short-term cooling signals, positioning the 9°C and 10°C outcomes as market leaders at combined implied probabilities exceeding 78%. Forecast uncertainty remains due to model variability in cloud cover and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with traders weighting consensus from agencies like MetService and NIWA. Updated model runs and official briefings in coming days could shift sentiment if warmer advection develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$157Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a cool winter day ahead for Wellington on August 5, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 9°C amid typical Southern Hemisphere mid-winter conditions and possible high-pressure influence suppressing warming. This aligns with climatological averages of 11–12°C highs for the month while reflecting short-term cooling signals, positioning the 9°C and 10°C outcomes as market leaders at combined implied probabilities exceeding 78%. Forecast uncertainty remains due to model variability in cloud cover and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with traders weighting consensus from agencies like MetService and NIWA. Updated model runs and official briefings in coming days could shift sentiment if warmer advection develops.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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