**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on June 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 22?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$67,775 KL.
$67,775 KL.
Jun 22, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$67,775 KL.
$67,775 KL.
Jun 22, 2026
8°C or below
$410 KL.
No
9°C
$254 KL.
No
10°C
$457 KL.
No
11°C
$6,676 KL.
No
12°C
$13,528 KL.
No
13°C
$16,382 KL.
No
14°C
$11,700 KL.
Yes
15°C
$11,302 KL.
No
16°C
$5,788 KL.
No
17°C
$830 KL.
No
18°C or higher
$447 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$67,775Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$67,775Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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