Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from MetService New Zealand show Wellington's daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C under persistent southerly flows and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late autumn in the region. This data aligns with historical May averages and current atmospheric patterns, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for 17°C as traders incorporate verified readings through the afternoon. Minor uncertainty remains from potential late-day wind shifts or localized warming that could briefly push readings to 18°C before midnight, though ensemble guidance assigns very low probability to such deviations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,457 KL.
$65,457 KL.
May 21, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,457 KL.
$65,457 KL.
May 21, 2026
10°C or below
$1,111 KL.
No
11°C
$912 KL.
No
12°C
$1,548 KL.
No
13°C
$13,884 KL.
No
14°C
$4,245 KL.
No
15°C
$15,696 KL.
No
16°C
$4,937 KL.
No
17°C
$11,511 KL.
Yes
18°C
$7,170 KL.
No
19°C
$3,251 KL.
No
20°C or higher
$1,193 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from MetService New Zealand show Wellington's daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C under persistent southerly flows and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late autumn in the region. This data aligns with historical May averages and current atmospheric patterns, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for 17°C as traders incorporate verified readings through the afternoon. Minor uncertainty remains from potential late-day wind shifts or localized warming that could briefly push readings to 18°C before midnight, though ensemble guidance assigns very low probability to such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$65,457Ngày kết thúc
May 21, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from MetService New Zealand show Wellington's daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C under persistent southerly flows and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late autumn in the region. This data aligns with historical May averages and current atmospheric patterns, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for 17°C as traders incorporate verified readings through the afternoon. Minor uncertainty remains from potential late-day wind shifts or localized warming that could briefly push readings to 18°C before midnight, though ensemble guidance assigns very low probability to such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$65,457Ngày kết thúc
May 21, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from MetService New Zealand show Wellington's daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C under persistent southerly flows and stable high-pressure conditions typical for late autumn in the region. This data aligns with historical May averages and current atmospheric patterns, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for 17°C as traders incorporate verified readings through the afternoon. Minor uncertainty remains from potential late-day wind shifts or localized warming that could briefly push readings to 18°C before midnight, though ensemble guidance assigns very low probability to such deviations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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