Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 16°C high temperature in Wellington on May 5, backed by MetService observations at Wellington International Airport showing midday peaks plateauing at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds gusting to 50 km/h. This aligns with the agency's latest forecast of a 15°C daytime maximum amid a high-pressure ridge, consistent with May climatological averages around 15°C for the region. Current late-afternoon readings at 13°C signal the peak has passed with sunset approaching at 5:23pm, minimizing upside risk; only an improbable prolonged clear spell with sudden solar heating could push toward 17°C, though model consensus and cooling trends make this unlikely. Final airport data expected by midnight will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on May 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 5?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$67,272 KL.
$67,272 KL.
May 5, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$67,272 KL.
$67,272 KL.
May 5, 2026
10°C or below
$2,514 KL.
No
11°C
$570 KL.
No
12°C
$1,178 KL.
No
13°C
$2,499 KL.
No
14°C
$11,780 KL.
No
15°C
$18,526 KL.
No
16°C
$12,393 KL.
Yes
17°C
$6,427 KL.
No
18°C
$5,447 KL.
No
19°C
$3,065 KL.
No
20°C or higher
$2,873 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 16°C high temperature in Wellington on May 5, backed by MetService observations at Wellington International Airport showing midday peaks plateauing at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds gusting to 50 km/h. This aligns with the agency's latest forecast of a 15°C daytime maximum amid a high-pressure ridge, consistent with May climatological averages around 15°C for the region. Current late-afternoon readings at 13°C signal the peak has passed with sunset approaching at 5:23pm, minimizing upside risk; only an improbable prolonged clear spell with sudden solar heating could push toward 17°C, though model consensus and cooling trends make this unlikely. Final airport data expected by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$67,272Ngày kết thúc
May 5, 2026Thị trường mở
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 16°C high temperature in Wellington on May 5, backed by MetService observations at Wellington International Airport showing midday peaks plateauing at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds gusting to 50 km/h. This aligns with the agency's latest forecast of a 15°C daytime maximum amid a high-pressure ridge, consistent with May climatological averages around 15°C for the region. Current late-afternoon readings at 13°C signal the peak has passed with sunset approaching at 5:23pm, minimizing upside risk; only an improbable prolonged clear spell with sudden solar heating could push toward 17°C, though model consensus and cooling trends make this unlikely. Final airport data expected by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$67,272Ngày kết thúc
May 5, 2026Thị trường mở
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 16°C high temperature in Wellington on May 5, backed by MetService observations at Wellington International Airport showing midday peaks plateauing at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds gusting to 50 km/h. This aligns with the agency's latest forecast of a 15°C daytime maximum amid a high-pressure ridge, consistent with May climatological averages around 15°C for the region. Current late-afternoon readings at 13°C signal the peak has passed with sunset approaching at 5:23pm, minimizing upside risk; only an improbable prolonged clear spell with sudden solar heating could push toward 17°C, though model consensus and cooling trends make this unlikely. Final airport data expected by midnight will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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