Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 KL.
$70,396 KL.
Apr 21, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 KL.
$70,396 KL.
Apr 21, 2026
8°C or below
$572 KL.
No
9°C
$654 KL.
No
10°C
$1,271 KL.
No
11°C
$1,469 KL.
No
12°C
$2,453 KL.
No
13°C
$2,975 KL.
No
14°C
$4,400 KL.
No
15°C
$10,557 KL.
No
16°C
$6,623 KL.
No
17°C
$19,205 KL.
Yes
18°C or higher
$20,215 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$70,396Ngày kết thúc
Apr 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$70,396Ngày kết thúc
Apr 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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