Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 17?
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,843 KL.
$47,843 KL.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,843 KL.
$47,843 KL.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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