Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$54,366 KL.
$54,366 KL.
Jun 13, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$54,366 KL.
$54,366 KL.
Jun 13, 2026
19°C or below
$5,557 KL.
No
20°C
$409 KL.
No
21°C
$410 KL.
No
22°C
$1,447 KL.
No
23°C
$3,386 KL.
No
24°C
$13,494 KL.
Yes
25°C
$6,648 KL.
No
26°C
$3,847 KL.
No
27°C
$4,598 KL.
No
28°C
$4,966 KL.
No
29°C or higher
$9,604 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$54,366Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$54,366Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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