Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$60,759 KL.
$60,759 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$60,759 KL.
$60,759 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
$402 KL.
No
28°C
$3,984 KL.
No
29°C
$2,593 KL.
No
30°C
$3,594 KL.
No
31°C
$4,079 KL.
No
32°C
$11,323 KL.
No
33°C
$9,661 KL.
No
34°C
$11,900 KL.
Yes
35°C
$8,734 KL.
No
36°C
$1,966 KL.
No
37°C or higher
$2,521 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$60,759Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$60,759Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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