Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$177,251 KL.
$177,251 KL.
May 2, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$177,251 KL.
$177,251 KL.
May 2, 2026
14°C or below
$11,016 KL.
No
15°C
$3,833 KL.
No
16°C
$5,275 KL.
No
17°C
$15,105 KL.
No
18°C
$25,251 KL.
No
19°C
$25,595 KL.
No
20°C
$17,430 KL.
No
21°C
$36,038 KL.
Yes
22°C
$11,923 KL.
No
23°C
$12,615 KL.
No
24°C or higher
$13,170 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Khối lượng
$177,251Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$177,251Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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