Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 8, backed by real-time hourly observations from the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station (ZHHH via Wunderground and China Meteorological Administration data), which recorded a midday peak of 22°C amid persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds following rain showers the prior day. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover—evident in 61% relative humidity and dew points around 14°C—has capped surface heating well below May climatological averages of 26–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, a challenge to this positioning would require improbable late-afternoon clearing and rapid convective warming before sunset, with final daily maximum confirmation expected from CMA archives within 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 8?
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,235 KL.
$70,235 KL.
May 8, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,235 KL.
$70,235 KL.
May 8, 2026
20°C or below
$7,051 KL.
No
21°C
$8,300 KL.
No
22°C
$17,275 KL.
Yes
23°C
$9,083 KL.
No
24°C
$5,827 KL.
No
25°C
$4,592 KL.
No
26°C
$5,218 KL.
No
27°C
$4,300 KL.
No
28°C
$3,956 KL.
No
29°C
$2,943 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$1,689 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 8, backed by real-time hourly observations from the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station (ZHHH via Wunderground and China Meteorological Administration data), which recorded a midday peak of 22°C amid persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds following rain showers the prior day. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover—evident in 61% relative humidity and dew points around 14°C—has capped surface heating well below May climatological averages of 26–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, a challenge to this positioning would require improbable late-afternoon clearing and rapid convective warming before sunset, with final daily maximum confirmation expected from CMA archives within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$70,235Ngày kết thúc
May 8, 2026Thị trường mở
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 8, backed by real-time hourly observations from the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station (ZHHH via Wunderground and China Meteorological Administration data), which recorded a midday peak of 22°C amid persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds following rain showers the prior day. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover—evident in 61% relative humidity and dew points around 14°C—has capped surface heating well below May climatological averages of 26–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, a challenge to this positioning would require improbable late-afternoon clearing and rapid convective warming before sunset, with final daily maximum confirmation expected from CMA archives within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$70,235Ngày kết thúc
May 8, 2026Thị trường mở
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 8, backed by real-time hourly observations from the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station (ZHHH via Wunderground and China Meteorological Administration data), which recorded a midday peak of 22°C amid persistent overcast skies and light northeast winds following rain showers the prior day. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud cover—evident in 61% relative humidity and dew points around 14°C—has capped surface heating well below May climatological averages of 26–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, a challenge to this positioning would require improbable late-afternoon clearing and rapid convective warming before sunset, with final daily maximum confirmation expected from CMA archives within 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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