President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act in response to protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations, most notably in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian during a raid. These statements build on earlier 2025 warnings tied to immigration enforcement and urban unrest, though no invocation has occurred since 1992. A Senate bill introduced in June 2025 seeks to narrow the statute’s scope, while recent Supreme Court rulings have limited alternative deployment authorities. Traders weigh the risk of escalation in ongoing border and protest scenarios against institutional pushback and the law’s historical rarity, with resolution hinging on future executive decisions within specified timeframes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtĐạo luật nổi dậy được viện dẫn bởi...?
Đạo luật nổi dậy được viện dẫn bởi...?
$1,090,970 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Ngày 30 tháng 6
3%
Ngày 31 tháng 12
17%
$1,090,970 KL.
Ngày 30 tháng 6
$72,165 KL.
3%
Ngày 31 tháng 12
$135,209 KL.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act in response to protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations, most notably in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian during a raid. These statements build on earlier 2025 warnings tied to immigration enforcement and urban unrest, though no invocation has occurred since 1992. A Senate bill introduced in June 2025 seeks to narrow the statute’s scope, while recent Supreme Court rulings have limited alternative deployment authorities. Traders weigh the risk of escalation in ongoing border and protest scenarios against institutional pushback and the law’s historical rarity, with resolution hinging on future executive decisions within specified timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,090,970Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act in response to protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations, most notably in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian during a raid. These statements build on earlier 2025 warnings tied to immigration enforcement and urban unrest, though no invocation has occurred since 1992. A Senate bill introduced in June 2025 seeks to narrow the statute’s scope, while recent Supreme Court rulings have limited alternative deployment authorities. Traders weigh the risk of escalation in ongoing border and protest scenarios against institutional pushback and the law’s historical rarity, with resolution hinging on future executive decisions within specified timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,090,970Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act in response to protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations, most notably in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian during a raid. These statements build on earlier 2025 warnings tied to immigration enforcement and urban unrest, though no invocation has occurred since 1992. A Senate bill introduced in June 2025 seeks to narrow the statute’s scope, while recent Supreme Court rulings have limited alternative deployment authorities. Traders weigh the risk of escalation in ongoing border and protest scenarios against institutional pushback and the law’s historical rarity, with resolution hinging on future executive decisions within specified timeframes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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