President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act in response to protests against federal immigration enforcement, including incidents in Los Angeles, Portland, Chicago, and especially Minnesota in January 2026 following shootings by ICE agents during operations. These threats followed legal challenges to National Guard deployments and administration reports that ultimately recommended against invocation for border control. No formal invocation has occurred as of September 2026 despite public statements framing protests as insurrections or obstructions to federal law. Key factors influencing trader views include the president's broad statutory discretion under the Act, ongoing midterm election dynamics, court scrutiny of related executive actions, and the absence of widespread state requests or conditions meeting historical thresholds for use. Scheduled developments such as November 2026 midterms and continued enforcement operations could shift assessments if new unrest or legal blocks emerge.