National Weather Service observations from official New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 64-65°F on June 3, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average lows hover near 60°F amid warming Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflects verified instrumental data rather than models, with negligible probability assigned to other ranges due to the absence of cold fronts or anomalous radiative cooling. Unlikely revisions to station records or alternative measurement protocols represent the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare after initial quality-controlled releases.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on June 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 3?
64-65°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,972 KL.
$32,972 KL.
Jun 3, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,972 KL.
$32,972 KL.
Jun 3, 2026
49°F or below
$2,846 KL.
No
50-51°F
$4,448 KL.
No
52-53°F
$2,539 KL.
No
54-55°F
$701 KL.
No
56-57°F
$1,754 KL.
No
58-59°F
$1,180 KL.
No
60-61°F
$1,291 KL.
No
62-63°F
$2,814 KL.
No
64-65°F
$4,804 KL.
Yes
66-67°F
$3,979 KL.
No
68°F or higher
$6,615 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations from official New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 64-65°F on June 3, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average lows hover near 60°F amid warming Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflects verified instrumental data rather than models, with negligible probability assigned to other ranges due to the absence of cold fronts or anomalous radiative cooling. Unlikely revisions to station records or alternative measurement protocols represent the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare after initial quality-controlled releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,972Ngày kết thúc
Jun 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations from official New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 64-65°F on June 3, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average lows hover near 60°F amid warming Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflects verified instrumental data rather than models, with negligible probability assigned to other ranges due to the absence of cold fronts or anomalous radiative cooling. Unlikely revisions to station records or alternative measurement protocols represent the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare after initial quality-controlled releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$32,972Ngày kết thúc
Jun 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
National Weather Service observations from official New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 64-65°F on June 3, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average lows hover near 60°F amid warming Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflects verified instrumental data rather than models, with negligible probability assigned to other ranges due to the absence of cold fronts or anomalous radiative cooling. Unlikely revisions to station records or alternative measurement protocols represent the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare after initial quality-controlled releases.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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