Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park station confirm the lowest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 50°F during the early morning hours, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This aligns with pre-event guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, which forecasted overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s amid light winds, partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically elevates Central Park minima 3-5°F above rural areas—near the climatological May 2 average of 51°F. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-preliminary data revision due to sensor calibration issues, but final NWS daily climatological reports rarely alter verified hourly measurements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on May 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 2?
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$30,869 KL.
$30,869 KL.
May 2, 2026
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$30,869 KL.
$30,869 KL.
May 2, 2026
39°F or below
$6,903 KL.
No
40-41°F
$1,170 KL.
No
42-43°F
$1,759 KL.
No
44-45°F
$1,062 KL.
No
46-47°F
$1,370 KL.
No
48-49°F
$4,626 KL.
No
50-51°F
$5,161 KL.
Yes
52-53°F
$3,784 KL.
No
54-55°F
$846 KL.
No
56-57°F
$1,096 KL.
No
58°F or higher
$3,093 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park station confirm the lowest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 50°F during the early morning hours, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This aligns with pre-event guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, which forecasted overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s amid light winds, partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically elevates Central Park minima 3-5°F above rural areas—near the climatological May 2 average of 51°F. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-preliminary data revision due to sensor calibration issues, but final NWS daily climatological reports rarely alter verified hourly measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,869Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park station confirm the lowest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 50°F during the early morning hours, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This aligns with pre-event guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, which forecasted overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s amid light winds, partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically elevates Central Park minima 3-5°F above rural areas—near the climatological May 2 average of 51°F. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-preliminary data revision due to sensor calibration issues, but final NWS daily climatological reports rarely alter verified hourly measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$30,869Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park station confirm the lowest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 50°F during the early morning hours, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This aligns with pre-event guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, which forecasted overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s amid light winds, partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically elevates Central Park minima 3-5°F above rural areas—near the climatological May 2 average of 51°F. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-preliminary data revision due to sensor calibration issues, but final NWS daily climatological reports rarely alter verified hourly measurements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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