Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on May 9?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 9?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$39,433 KL.
$39,433 KL.
May 9, 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Yes
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$39,433 KL.
$39,433 KL.
May 9, 2026
43°F or below
$10,238 KL.
No
44-45°F
$6,726 KL.
No
46-47°F
$1,759 KL.
No
48-49°F
$2,081 KL.
No
50-51°F
$2,258 KL.
No
52-53°F
$3,026 KL.
Yes
54-55°F
$3,761 KL.
No
56-57°F
$1,689 KL.
No
58-59°F
$2,039 KL.
No
60-61°F
$2,619 KL.
No
62°F or higher
$3,236 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,433Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$39,433Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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