Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 20?
18°C or below 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$15,842 KL.
$15,842 KL.
Jun 20, 2026
18°C or below
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
18°C or below 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$15,842 KL.
$15,842 KL.
Jun 20, 2026
18°C or below
$2,820 KL.
Yes
19°C
$2,762 KL.
No
20°C
$1,745 KL.
No
21°C
$1,701 KL.
No
22°C
$1,576 KL.
No
23°C
$586 KL.
No
24°C
$680 KL.
No
25°C
$1,024 KL.
No
26°C
$983 KL.
No
27°C
$1,565 KL.
No
28°C or higher
$400 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,842Ngày kết thúc
Jun 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15,842Ngày kết thúc
Jun 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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