Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 3?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$11,534 KL.
$11,534 KL.
Jun 3, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$11,534 KL.
$11,534 KL.
Jun 3, 2026
7°C or below
$370 KL.
No
8°C
$211 KL.
No
9°C
$577 KL.
No
10°C
$374 KL.
No
11°C
$1,225 KL.
No
12°C
$1,697 KL.
No
13°C
$3,811 KL.
Yes
14°C
$873 KL.
No
15°C
$1,355 KL.
No
16°C
$788 KL.
No
17°C or higher
$252 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,534Ngày kết thúc
Jun 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,534Ngày kết thúc
Jun 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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