Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on April 27?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 27?
11°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$28,894 KL.
$28,894 KL.
Apr 27, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$28,894 KL.
$28,894 KL.
Apr 27, 2026
8°C or below
$3,032 KL.
No
9°C
$2,885 KL.
No
10°C
$2,558 KL.
No
11°C
$9,250 KL.
Yes
12°C
$1,606 KL.
No
13°C
$717 KL.
No
14°C
$1,250 KL.
No
15°C
$718 KL.
No
16°C
$1,026 KL.
No
17°C
$1,882 KL.
No
18°C or higher
$3,971 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,894Ngày kết thúc
Apr 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$28,894Ngày kết thúc
Apr 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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