Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on May 9?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 9?
10°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$39,623 KL.
$39,623 KL.
May 9, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$39,623 KL.
$39,623 KL.
May 9, 2026
8°C or below
$8,860 KL.
No
9°C
$4,914 KL.
No
10°C
$6,836 KL.
Yes
11°C
$3,107 KL.
No
12°C
$6,111 KL.
No
13°C
$1,120 KL.
No
14°C
$1,291 KL.
No
15°C
$2,336 KL.
No
16°C
$1,521 KL.
No
17°C
$1,553 KL.
No
18°C or higher
$1,975 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,623Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$39,623Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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