The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$23,297 KL.
$23,297 KL.
Jun 11, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$23,297 KL.
$23,297 KL.
Jun 11, 2026
13°C or below
$517 KL.
No
14°C
$1,410 KL.
No
15°C
$996 KL.
No
16°C
$887 KL.
No
17°C
$1,260 KL.
No
18°C
$4,388 KL.
Yes
19°C
$4,747 KL.
No
20°C
$5,376 KL.
No
21°C
$1,405 KL.
No
22°C
$739 KL.
No
23°C or higher
$1,573 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,297Ngày kết thúc
Jun 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$23,297Ngày kết thúc
Jun 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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