Traders have converged on an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 16 at 100% implied probability, driven by consistent observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing nighttime temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing high-pressure conditions. June climatology places typical minimums around 18–20°C, and current model guidance from regional forecasts indicates limited diurnal cooling or advection that would push readings lower before the 24-hour period closes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high confidence in the absence of disruptive fronts or urban heat-island variability. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted marine layer or localized wind change, though such developments appear improbable given the latest guidance and proximity to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,081 KL.
$15,081 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,081 KL.
$15,081 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
13°C or below
$733 KL.
No
14°C
$974 KL.
No
15°C
$2,157 KL.
No
16°C
$923 KL.
No
17°C
$1,407 KL.
No
18°C
$2,615 KL.
Yes
19°C
$2,707 KL.
No
20°C
$1,987 KL.
No
21°C
$420 KL.
No
22°C
$893 KL.
No
23°C or higher
$265 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 16 at 100% implied probability, driven by consistent observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing nighttime temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing high-pressure conditions. June climatology places typical minimums around 18–20°C, and current model guidance from regional forecasts indicates limited diurnal cooling or advection that would push readings lower before the 24-hour period closes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high confidence in the absence of disruptive fronts or urban heat-island variability. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted marine layer or localized wind change, though such developments appear improbable given the latest guidance and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,081Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 16 at 100% implied probability, driven by consistent observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing nighttime temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing high-pressure conditions. June climatology places typical minimums around 18–20°C, and current model guidance from regional forecasts indicates limited diurnal cooling or advection that would push readings lower before the 24-hour period closes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high confidence in the absence of disruptive fronts or urban heat-island variability. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted marine layer or localized wind change, though such developments appear improbable given the latest guidance and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15,081Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders have converged on an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 16 at 100% implied probability, driven by consistent observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing nighttime temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing high-pressure conditions. June climatology places typical minimums around 18–20°C, and current model guidance from regional forecasts indicates limited diurnal cooling or advection that would push readings lower before the 24-hour period closes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high confidence in the absence of disruptive fronts or urban heat-island variability. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted marine layer or localized wind change, though such developments appear improbable given the latest guidance and proximity to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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