Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 30% precipitation chance, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer tsuyu conditions moderating nocturnal cooling through elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with climatological normals near 19°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with traders incorporating historical June low ranges of 18–22°C and limited upside risk from any clearing skies that could allow slightly cooler readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 19?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,584 KL.
$14,584 KL.
Jun 19, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,584 KL.
$14,584 KL.
Jun 19, 2026
16°C or below
$544 KL.
No
17°C
$597 KL.
No
18°C
$712 KL.
No
19°C
$1,271 KL.
No
20°C
$1,300 KL.
No
21°C
$4,102 KL.
Yes
22°C
$2,315 KL.
No
23°C
$1,087 KL.
No
24°C
$848 KL.
No
25°C
$1,243 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$564 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 30% precipitation chance, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer tsuyu conditions moderating nocturnal cooling through elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with climatological normals near 19°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with traders incorporating historical June low ranges of 18–22°C and limited upside risk from any clearing skies that could allow slightly cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,584Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 30% precipitation chance, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer tsuyu conditions moderating nocturnal cooling through elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with climatological normals near 19°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with traders incorporating historical June low ranges of 18–22°C and limited upside risk from any clearing skies that could allow slightly cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,584Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 30% precipitation chance, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer tsuyu conditions moderating nocturnal cooling through elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with climatological normals near 19°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with traders incorporating historical June low ranges of 18–22°C and limited upside risk from any clearing skies that could allow slightly cooler readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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