Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a Tokyo overnight minimum near 20°C on June 26, driving the narrow clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Cloud cover and humidity typical of the tsuyu rainy season limit radiative cooling, while light southerly flow and possible showers maintain temperatures close to seasonal normals of 19–21°C. Minor shifts in frontal position or precipitation timing could push the low 1–2°C lower or higher, explaining the roughly equal weighting of 17–19°C outcomes and the slim tail probabilities below 17°C or above 22°C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 26?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 26?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$17,076 KL.
$17,076 KL.
Jun 26, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$17,076 KL.
$17,076 KL.
Jun 26, 2026
15°C or below
$355 KL.
No
16°C
$294 KL.
No
17°C
$419 KL.
No
18°C
$2,434 KL.
No
19°C
$995 KL.
No
20°C
$2,624 KL.
No
21°C
$3,565 KL.
Yes
22°C
$2,778 KL.
No
23°C
$570 KL.
No
24°C
$293 KL.
No
25°C or higher
$2,749 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a Tokyo overnight minimum near 20°C on June 26, driving the narrow clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Cloud cover and humidity typical of the tsuyu rainy season limit radiative cooling, while light southerly flow and possible showers maintain temperatures close to seasonal normals of 19–21°C. Minor shifts in frontal position or precipitation timing could push the low 1–2°C lower or higher, explaining the roughly equal weighting of 17–19°C outcomes and the slim tail probabilities below 17°C or above 22°C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,076Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a Tokyo overnight minimum near 20°C on June 26, driving the narrow clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Cloud cover and humidity typical of the tsuyu rainy season limit radiative cooling, while light southerly flow and possible showers maintain temperatures close to seasonal normals of 19–21°C. Minor shifts in frontal position or precipitation timing could push the low 1–2°C lower or higher, explaining the roughly equal weighting of 17–19°C outcomes and the slim tail probabilities below 17°C or above 22°C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$17,076Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a Tokyo overnight minimum near 20°C on June 26, driving the narrow clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Cloud cover and humidity typical of the tsuyu rainy season limit radiative cooling, while light southerly flow and possible showers maintain temperatures close to seasonal normals of 19–21°C. Minor shifts in frontal position or precipitation timing could push the low 1–2°C lower or higher, explaining the roughly equal weighting of 17–19°C outcomes and the slim tail probabilities below 17°C or above 22°C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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