Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated a broader regional conflict. He has issued only written statements through state media and has made no public appearances, fueling reports of serious injuries sustained in the attacks and his confinement to secure, undisclosed locations inside Iran. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has played a central role in stabilizing the transition, while health-related travel abroad remains unconfirmed and politically sensitive given the wartime environment. These factors have shaped trader assessments around any near-term departure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,824,709 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
2%
$1,824,709 KL.
June 30
$414,478 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated a broader regional conflict. He has issued only written statements through state media and has made no public appearances, fueling reports of serious injuries sustained in the attacks and his confinement to secure, undisclosed locations inside Iran. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has played a central role in stabilizing the transition, while health-related travel abroad remains unconfirmed and politically sensitive given the wartime environment. These factors have shaped trader assessments around any near-term departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,824,709Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated a broader regional conflict. He has issued only written statements through state media and has made no public appearances, fueling reports of serious injuries sustained in the attacks and his confinement to secure, undisclosed locations inside Iran. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has played a central role in stabilizing the transition, while health-related travel abroad remains unconfirmed and politically sensitive given the wartime environment. These factors have shaped trader assessments around any near-term departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,824,709Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated a broader regional conflict. He has issued only written statements through state media and has made no public appearances, fueling reports of serious injuries sustained in the attacks and his confinement to secure, undisclosed locations inside Iran. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has played a central role in stabilizing the transition, while health-related travel abroad remains unconfirmed and politically sensitive given the wartime environment. These factors have shaped trader assessments around any near-term departure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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