Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran’s Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the death of his father, Ali Khamenei, in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that escalated into broader conflict. He has since consolidated authority through regime institutions, including the Revolutionary Guards, while issuing written statements on foreign policy, nuclear issues, and regional security without making public appearances. Recent actions include pardons for thousands of prisoners in early June and continued messaging rejecting U.S. military presence, amid fragile ceasefires and ongoing tensions. No verified reports indicate plans or movements for departure, and trader pricing reflects strong consensus on continuity inside Iran driven by institutional support and the completed leadership transition. Scheduled statements or any escalation in external pressures remain the primary near-term variables that could influence assessments of his location.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,823,357 KL.
June 30
2%
$1,823,357 KL.
June 30
2%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran’s Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the death of his father, Ali Khamenei, in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that escalated into broader conflict. He has since consolidated authority through regime institutions, including the Revolutionary Guards, while issuing written statements on foreign policy, nuclear issues, and regional security without making public appearances. Recent actions include pardons for thousands of prisoners in early June and continued messaging rejecting U.S. military presence, amid fragile ceasefires and ongoing tensions. No verified reports indicate plans or movements for departure, and trader pricing reflects strong consensus on continuity inside Iran driven by institutional support and the completed leadership transition. Scheduled statements or any escalation in external pressures remain the primary near-term variables that could influence assessments of his location.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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