Mojtaba Khamenei’s position as Iran’s Supreme Leader, installed by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father’s assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, anchors trader assessments against departure. The 56-year-old maintains authority through IRGC ties and security networks amid ongoing regional conflict, issuing public statements as recently as early June on internal divisions and foreign bases. U.S. intelligence reports from May describe him operating from a secure, undisclosed domestic location with limited external access, consistent with regime continuity rather than exile. No verified exits or preparations have surfaced, and structural demands of the office—oversight of military, clerical, and state institutions—reduce near-term relocation likelihood despite war pressures or succession sensitivities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,824,662 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
2%
$1,824,662 KL.
June 30
$414,430 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei’s position as Iran’s Supreme Leader, installed by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father’s assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, anchors trader assessments against departure. The 56-year-old maintains authority through IRGC ties and security networks amid ongoing regional conflict, issuing public statements as recently as early June on internal divisions and foreign bases. U.S. intelligence reports from May describe him operating from a secure, undisclosed domestic location with limited external access, consistent with regime continuity rather than exile. No verified exits or preparations have surfaced, and structural demands of the office—oversight of military, clerical, and state institutions—reduce near-term relocation likelihood despite war pressures or succession sensitivities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,824,662Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei’s position as Iran’s Supreme Leader, installed by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father’s assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, anchors trader assessments against departure. The 56-year-old maintains authority through IRGC ties and security networks amid ongoing regional conflict, issuing public statements as recently as early June on internal divisions and foreign bases. U.S. intelligence reports from May describe him operating from a secure, undisclosed domestic location with limited external access, consistent with regime continuity rather than exile. No verified exits or preparations have surfaced, and structural demands of the office—oversight of military, clerical, and state institutions—reduce near-term relocation likelihood despite war pressures or succession sensitivities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,824,662Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei’s position as Iran’s Supreme Leader, installed by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father’s assassination in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes, anchors trader assessments against departure. The 56-year-old maintains authority through IRGC ties and security networks amid ongoing regional conflict, issuing public statements as recently as early June on internal divisions and foreign bases. U.S. intelligence reports from May describe him operating from a secure, undisclosed domestic location with limited external access, consistent with regime continuity rather than exile. No verified exits or preparations have surfaced, and structural demands of the office—oversight of military, clerical, and state institutions—reduce near-term relocation likelihood despite war pressures or succession sensitivities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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