Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of Hardware Engineering, as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability to succeed Tim Cook as CEO, driven by a March 22 Bloomberg profile detailing his expanded oversight of design teams since late 2025, widespread internal acclaim for reversing product quality declines, and frequent high-profile product keynotes that showcase his leadership. Recent April interviews alongside marketing chief Greg Joswiak (7.4%) on AI advancements and future wearables further elevated Ternus' visibility, while operations head Sabih Khan (4.5%) and software leader Craig Federighi (3.0%) trail amid less aggressive positioning. Cook has dismissed imminent retirement rumors, with no announcement expected before mid-2026 earnings or WWDC, leaving room for shifts in this closely watched succession race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJohn Ternus 35%
Greg Joswiak 9.8%
Sabih Khan 5%
Craig Federighi 3.0%
$676,021 KL.
$676,021 KL.
John Ternus
35%
Greg Joswiak
8%
Sabih Khan
5%
Craig Federighi
3%
John Ternus 35%
Greg Joswiak 9.8%
Sabih Khan 5%
Craig Federighi 3.0%
$676,021 KL.
$676,021 KL.
John Ternus
35%
Greg Joswiak
8%
Sabih Khan
5%
Craig Federighi
3%
An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Thị trường mở: Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of Hardware Engineering, as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability to succeed Tim Cook as CEO, driven by a March 22 Bloomberg profile detailing his expanded oversight of design teams since late 2025, widespread internal acclaim for reversing product quality declines, and frequent high-profile product keynotes that showcase his leadership. Recent April interviews alongside marketing chief Greg Joswiak (7.4%) on AI advancements and future wearables further elevated Ternus' visibility, while operations head Sabih Khan (4.5%) and software leader Craig Federighi (3.0%) trail amid less aggressive positioning. Cook has dismissed imminent retirement rumors, with no announcement expected before mid-2026 earnings or WWDC, leaving room for shifts in this closely watched succession race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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