The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for North Carolina's 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over mobilization efforts in a competitive open-seat contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Recent August polling averages showing Cooper ahead by roughly nine points could shape Democratic enthusiasm and early voting participation, while Republican strategies emphasize base turnout amid national midterm dynamics. Primary turnout rose modestly from prior cycles, but general election levels hinge on factors including campaign spending, voter registration trends, weather on November 3, and absentee ballot access. Absent decisive late-cycle catalysts, these variables sustain balanced trader assessments of total ballots cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNorth Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
3.7M-3.9M 44%
4.7M+ 44%
4.1M-4.3M 44%
<3.5M 43%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<3.5M
43%
3.5M-3.7M
43%
3.7M-3.9M
44%
3.9M-4.1M
43%
4.1M-4.3M
44%
4.3M-4.5M
43%
4.5M-4.7M
43%
4.7M+
44%
3.7M-3.9M 44%
4.7M+ 44%
4.1M-4.3M 44%
<3.5M 43%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<3.5M
$0 KL.
43%
3.5M-3.7M
$0 KL.
43%
3.7M-3.9M
$0 KL.
44%
3.9M-4.1M
$0 KL.
43%
4.1M-4.3M
$0 KL.
44%
4.3M-4.5M
$0 KL.
43%
4.5M-4.7M
$0 KL.
43%
4.7M+
$0 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for North Carolina's 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over mobilization efforts in a competitive open-seat contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Recent August polling averages showing Cooper ahead by roughly nine points could shape Democratic enthusiasm and early voting participation, while Republican strategies emphasize base turnout amid national midterm dynamics. Primary turnout rose modestly from prior cycles, but general election levels hinge on factors including campaign spending, voter registration trends, weather on November 3, and absentee ballot access. Absent decisive late-cycle catalysts, these variables sustain balanced trader assessments of total ballots cast.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for North Carolina's 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over mobilization efforts in a competitive open-seat contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Recent August polling averages showing Cooper ahead by roughly nine points could shape Democratic enthusiasm and early voting participation, while Republican strategies emphasize base turnout amid national midterm dynamics. Primary turnout rose modestly from prior cycles, but general election levels hinge on factors including campaign spending, voter registration trends, weather on November 3, and absentee ballot access. Absent decisive late-cycle catalysts, these variables sustain balanced trader assessments of total ballots cast.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for North Carolina's 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over mobilization efforts in a competitive open-seat contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Recent August polling averages showing Cooper ahead by roughly nine points could shape Democratic enthusiasm and early voting participation, while Republican strategies emphasize base turnout amid national midterm dynamics. Primary turnout rose modestly from prior cycles, but general election levels hinge on factors including campaign spending, voter registration trends, weather on November 3, and absentee ballot access. Absent decisive late-cycle catalysts, these variables sustain balanced trader assessments of total ballots cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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