Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPrecipitation in London in May?
Precipitation in London in May?
<5mm 100.0%
5-10mm <1%
10-15mm <1%
15-20mm <1%
$29,939 KL.
$29,939 KL.
May 31, 2026
<5mm
Yes
5-10mm
No
10-15mm
No
15-20mm
No
20-25mm
No
25-30mm
No
30mm+
No
<5mm 100.0%
5-10mm <1%
10-15mm <1%
15-20mm <1%
$29,939 KL.
$29,939 KL.
May 31, 2026
<5mm
$13,486 KL.
Yes
5-10mm
$9,128 KL.
No
10-15mm
$841 KL.
No
15-20mm
$779 KL.
No
20-25mm
$1,477 KL.
No
25-30mm
$2,364 KL.
No
30mm+
$1,863 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$29,939Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$29,939Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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