Strong audience retention after a record $360 million opening has kept *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* atop the domestic chart through its fourth weekend at $39 million, but successive drops of 60%, 51%, and 45% point to a fifth-frame range clustered around $20–24 million. Traders see the close 42.5% odds on the 20–22 million and 22–24 million brackets as reflecting steady legs of roughly 2.4x so far, tempered by typical superhero fatigue and the arrival of new wide releases. Historical patterns for similar MCU titles and the film’s still-dominant theater count support this tight band, while any sharper decline from competition could push results below $20 million. The upcoming Labor Day frame and daily tracking updates remain the next key signals for momentum shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
20-22m 43%
22-24m 43%
<20m 29%
26m+ 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
<20m
29%
20-22m
43%
22-24m
43%
24-26m
17%
26m+
20%
20-22m 43%
22-24m 43%
<20m 29%
26m+ 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
<20m
$1 KL.
29%
20-22m
$0 KL.
43%
22-24m
$0 KL.
43%
24-26m
$0 KL.
17%
26m+
$0 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong audience retention after a record $360 million opening has kept *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* atop the domestic chart through its fourth weekend at $39 million, but successive drops of 60%, 51%, and 45% point to a fifth-frame range clustered around $20–24 million. Traders see the close 42.5% odds on the 20–22 million and 22–24 million brackets as reflecting steady legs of roughly 2.4x so far, tempered by typical superhero fatigue and the arrival of new wide releases. Historical patterns for similar MCU titles and the film’s still-dominant theater count support this tight band, while any sharper decline from competition could push results below $20 million. The upcoming Labor Day frame and daily tracking updates remain the next key signals for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong audience retention after a record $360 million opening has kept *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* atop the domestic chart through its fourth weekend at $39 million, but successive drops of 60%, 51%, and 45% point to a fifth-frame range clustered around $20–24 million. Traders see the close 42.5% odds on the 20–22 million and 22–24 million brackets as reflecting steady legs of roughly 2.4x so far, tempered by typical superhero fatigue and the arrival of new wide releases. Historical patterns for similar MCU titles and the film’s still-dominant theater count support this tight band, while any sharper decline from competition could push results below $20 million. The upcoming Labor Day frame and daily tracking updates remain the next key signals for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$1Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong audience retention after a record $360 million opening has kept *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* atop the domestic chart through its fourth weekend at $39 million, but successive drops of 60%, 51%, and 45% point to a fifth-frame range clustered around $20–24 million. Traders see the close 42.5% odds on the 20–22 million and 22–24 million brackets as reflecting steady legs of roughly 2.4x so far, tempered by typical superhero fatigue and the arrival of new wide releases. Historical patterns for similar MCU titles and the film’s still-dominant theater count support this tight band, while any sharper decline from competition could push results below $20 million. The upcoming Labor Day frame and daily tracking updates remain the next key signals for momentum shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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