Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, combined with the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate near 3.6% through mid-2026 amid above-target inflation and resilient labor data, anchor trader sentiment for the S&P 500 year-end close. Analyst consensus targets cluster between 7,500 and 7,800, supported by projected 12% EPS growth from AI-driven revenues, yet elevated energy prices introduce downside risks that temper upside bets above 8,000. The closely matched market-implied odds across the 7,000–8,000 range reflect uncertainty over whether earnings momentum can offset restrictive monetary policy and potential inflation reacceleration, with upcoming June FOMC projections and inflation releases serving as key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
>$8,000 24%
$7,000-$7,500 23%
$7,500-$8,000 20%
$6,500-$7,000 16%
$28,750 KL.
$28,750 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
12%
$6,000-$6,500
8%
$6,500-$7,000
16%
$7,000-$7,500
23%
$7,500-$8,000
20%
>$8,000
24%
>$8,000 24%
$7,000-$7,500 23%
$7,500-$8,000 20%
$6,500-$7,000 16%
$28,750 KL.
$28,750 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$16,283 KL.
12%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,784 KL.
8%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,987 KL.
16%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,570 KL.
23%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,982 KL.
20%
>$8,000
$3,145 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, combined with the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate near 3.6% through mid-2026 amid above-target inflation and resilient labor data, anchor trader sentiment for the S&P 500 year-end close. Analyst consensus targets cluster between 7,500 and 7,800, supported by projected 12% EPS growth from AI-driven revenues, yet elevated energy prices introduce downside risks that temper upside bets above 8,000. The closely matched market-implied odds across the 7,000–8,000 range reflect uncertainty over whether earnings momentum can offset restrictive monetary policy and potential inflation reacceleration, with upcoming June FOMC projections and inflation releases serving as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,750Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, combined with the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate near 3.6% through mid-2026 amid above-target inflation and resilient labor data, anchor trader sentiment for the S&P 500 year-end close. Analyst consensus targets cluster between 7,500 and 7,800, supported by projected 12% EPS growth from AI-driven revenues, yet elevated energy prices introduce downside risks that temper upside bets above 8,000. The closely matched market-implied odds across the 7,000–8,000 range reflect uncertainty over whether earnings momentum can offset restrictive monetary policy and potential inflation reacceleration, with upcoming June FOMC projections and inflation releases serving as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Khối lượng
$28,750Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, combined with the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate near 3.6% through mid-2026 amid above-target inflation and resilient labor data, anchor trader sentiment for the S&P 500 year-end close. Analyst consensus targets cluster between 7,500 and 7,800, supported by projected 12% EPS growth from AI-driven revenues, yet elevated energy prices introduce downside risks that temper upside bets above 8,000. The closely matched market-implied odds across the 7,000–8,000 range reflect uncertainty over whether earnings momentum can offset restrictive monetary policy and potential inflation reacceleration, with upcoming June FOMC projections and inflation releases serving as key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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