Trader sentiment on the S&P 500 closing level at end-2026 reflects a closely contested range centered near current index levels around 7,600, with the $7,000-$7,500 bin holding a narrow lead at 23% implied probability. Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, has tempered expectations for aggressive monetary easing, while Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.6% annualized signals moderate expansion. Analyst targets cluster between 7,620 and 8,000, supported by anticipated earnings growth and resilient corporate fundamentals, yet uncertainty over inflation persistence and Fed rate path—currently projected near 3.1% by late 2026—keeps probabilities distributed across the 7,000-8,000 range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
$7,000-$7,500 23%
>$8,000 21%
$7,500-$8,000 20%
$6,500-$7,000 16%
$28,755 KL.
$28,755 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
13%
$6,000-$6,500
8%
$6,500-$7,000
16%
$7,000-$7,500
23%
$7,500-$8,000
20%
>$8,000
21%
$7,000-$7,500 23%
>$8,000 21%
$7,500-$8,000 20%
$6,500-$7,000 16%
$28,755 KL.
$28,755 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$16,283 KL.
13%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,784 KL.
8%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,987 KL.
16%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,570 KL.
23%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,982 KL.
20%
>$8,000
$3,150 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the S&P 500 closing level at end-2026 reflects a closely contested range centered near current index levels around 7,600, with the $7,000-$7,500 bin holding a narrow lead at 23% implied probability. Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, has tempered expectations for aggressive monetary easing, while Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.6% annualized signals moderate expansion. Analyst targets cluster between 7,620 and 8,000, supported by anticipated earnings growth and resilient corporate fundamentals, yet uncertainty over inflation persistence and Fed rate path—currently projected near 3.1% by late 2026—keeps probabilities distributed across the 7,000-8,000 range.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,755Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the S&P 500 closing level at end-2026 reflects a closely contested range centered near current index levels around 7,600, with the $7,000-$7,500 bin holding a narrow lead at 23% implied probability. Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, has tempered expectations for aggressive monetary easing, while Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.6% annualized signals moderate expansion. Analyst targets cluster between 7,620 and 8,000, supported by anticipated earnings growth and resilient corporate fundamentals, yet uncertainty over inflation persistence and Fed rate path—currently projected near 3.1% by late 2026—keeps probabilities distributed across the 7,000-8,000 range.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Khối lượng
$28,755Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on the S&P 500 closing level at end-2026 reflects a closely contested range centered near current index levels around 7,600, with the $7,000-$7,500 bin holding a narrow lead at 23% implied probability. Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, has tempered expectations for aggressive monetary easing, while Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.6% annualized signals moderate expansion. Analyst targets cluster between 7,620 and 8,000, supported by anticipated earnings growth and resilient corporate fundamentals, yet uncertainty over inflation persistence and Fed rate path—currently projected near 3.1% by late 2026—keeps probabilities distributed across the 7,000-8,000 range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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