The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment occurs against a backdrop of contained inflation that remains well within the 0–2% price-stability range, with the August 2026 CPI print rising to 0.8% year-over-year—driven primarily by higher petroleum costs—while core inflation stays subdued near 0.4%. Markets currently assign a 90% implied probability to an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting the SNB’s June 2026 decision and subsequent communications that medium-term inflationary pressures have remained essentially stable despite the energy-price shock. Swiss GDP growth has been solid but is expected to moderate amid global headwinds, while the franc’s stability reduces the urgency for rate adjustments and keeps FX intervention as the preferred tool for managing appreciation risks. Analyst surveys and recent banker expectations reinforce the consensus for no near-term change, with only modest probabilities attached to 25-basis-point moves in either direction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo Change 90%
25 bps increase 3.6%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
50+ bps decrease 1.7%
50+ bps increase
2%
25 bps increase
4%
No Change
90%
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps decrease
2%
No Change 90%
25 bps increase 3.6%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
50+ bps decrease 1.7%
50+ bps increase
2%
25 bps increase
4%
No Change
90%
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps decrease
2%
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment occurs against a backdrop of contained inflation that remains well within the 0–2% price-stability range, with the August 2026 CPI print rising to 0.8% year-over-year—driven primarily by higher petroleum costs—while core inflation stays subdued near 0.4%. Markets currently assign a 90% implied probability to an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting the SNB’s June 2026 decision and subsequent communications that medium-term inflationary pressures have remained essentially stable despite the energy-price shock. Swiss GDP growth has been solid but is expected to moderate amid global headwinds, while the franc’s stability reduces the urgency for rate adjustments and keeps FX intervention as the preferred tool for managing appreciation risks. Analyst surveys and recent banker expectations reinforce the consensus for no near-term change, with only modest probabilities attached to 25-basis-point moves in either direction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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