Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật38.5–38.9 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$26,183 KL.
$26,183 KL.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0–39.4
No
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
38.5–38.9 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$26,183 KL.
$26,183 KL.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
$3,823 KL.
No
38.0–38.4
$5,043 KL.
No
38.5–38.9
$8,095 KL.
Yes
39.0–39.4
$4,673 KL.
No
39.5–39.9
$2,651 KL.
No
40.0+
$1,897 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,183Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$26,183Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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