Recent political spending plans by Musk’s America PAC, targeting over $100 million for Republican turnout in the November midterms, alongside xAI’s lawsuit against Minnesota’s “nudification” ban and ongoing Grok model enhancements, are shaping expectations for posts on X. Traders are watching how these intersect with competitive AI positioning against other labs and SpaceX’s Starlink launches scheduled for August 4–12, which historically trigger real-time updates on Falcon 9 missions and orbital deployments. Tesla’s China business rumors, quickly dismissed by Musk, add another layer of potential commentary on EV strategy and regulatory pressures. These verified developments create a tight feedback loop between corporate milestones, policy fights, and platform engagement that could drive volume and topic distribution through the week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Aug 9, 2026
President
23%
Trump
23%
Sam / Altman
45%
Tweak
15%
Deport / Deported
37%
Tesla
91%
Neuralink
50%
Video game / Videogame
51%
Iran / Iranian
10%
IPO
50%
ChatGPT
14%
Texas
75%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
51%
$0.00 KL.
President
$0 KL.
23%
Trump
$0 KL.
23%
Sam / Altman
$0 KL.
45%
Tweak
$0 KL.
15%
Deport / Deported
$0 KL.
37%
Tesla
$0 KL.
91%
Neuralink
$0 KL.
50%
Video game / Videogame
$0 KL.
51%
Iran / Iranian
$0 KL.
10%
IPO
$0 KL.
50%
ChatGPT
$0 KL.
14%
Texas
$0 KL.
75%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$0 KL.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Recent political spending plans by Musk’s America PAC, targeting over $100 million for Republican turnout in the November midterms, alongside xAI’s lawsuit against Minnesota’s “nudification” ban and ongoing Grok model enhancements, are shaping expectations for posts on X. Traders are watching how these intersect with competitive AI positioning against other labs and SpaceX’s Starlink launches scheduled for August 4–12, which historically trigger real-time updates on Falcon 9 missions and orbital deployments. Tesla’s China business rumors, quickly dismissed by Musk, add another layer of potential commentary on EV strategy and regulatory pressures. These verified developments create a tight feedback loop between corporate milestones, policy fights, and platform engagement that could drive volume and topic distribution through the week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Recent political spending plans by Musk’s America PAC, targeting over $100 million for Republican turnout in the November midterms, alongside xAI’s lawsuit against Minnesota’s “nudification” ban and ongoing Grok model enhancements, are shaping expectations for posts on X. Traders are watching how these intersect with competitive AI positioning against other labs and SpaceX’s Starlink launches scheduled for August 4–12, which historically trigger real-time updates on Falcon 9 missions and orbital deployments. Tesla’s China business rumors, quickly dismissed by Musk, add another layer of potential commentary on EV strategy and regulatory pressures. These verified developments create a tight feedback loop between corporate milestones, policy fights, and platform engagement that could drive volume and topic distribution through the week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent political spending plans by Musk’s America PAC, targeting over $100 million for Republican turnout in the November midterms, alongside xAI’s lawsuit against Minnesota’s “nudification” ban and ongoing Grok model enhancements, are shaping expectations for posts on X. Traders are watching how these intersect with competitive AI positioning against other labs and SpaceX’s Starlink launches scheduled for August 4–12, which historically trigger real-time updates on Falcon 9 missions and orbital deployments. Tesla’s China business rumors, quickly dismissed by Musk, add another layer of potential commentary on EV strategy and regulatory pressures. These verified developments create a tight feedback loop between corporate milestones, policy fights, and platform engagement that could drive volume and topic distribution through the week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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