Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)
$43,739 KL.
May 3, 2026
Iran
Yes
Donald / Trump
Yes
Maduro
No
Powell
Yes
Warsh
No
Hegseth
Yes
Bitcoin
No
China
Yes
Ukraine
No
Russia
No
Israel
Yes
Hezbollah
No
Artificial Intelligence / AI
Yes
Deal
Yes
Ceasefire
No
Oil
Yes
S&P
No
Stock
Yes
Elon / Musk
No
Anthropic / Claude
No
OpenAI / ChatGPT
No
Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei
No
Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz
No
Zohran / Mamdani
No
$43,739 KL.
Iran
$5,163 KL.
Yes
Donald / Trump
$2,645 KL.
Yes
Maduro
$2,867 KL.
No
Powell
$600 KL.
Yes
Warsh
$3,757 KL.
No
Hegseth
$337 KL.
Yes
Bitcoin
$3,232 KL.
No
China
$1,904 KL.
Yes
Ukraine
$1,616 KL.
No
Russia
$2,143 KL.
No
Israel
$615 KL.
Yes
Hezbollah
$1,081 KL.
No
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$1,035 KL.
Yes
Deal
$1,237 KL.
Yes
Ceasefire
$1,450 KL.
No
Oil
$983 KL.
Yes
S&P
$1,444 KL.
No
Stock
$2,994 KL.
Yes
Elon / Musk
$2,369 KL.
No
Anthropic / Claude
$695 KL.
No
OpenAI / ChatGPT
$874 KL.
No
Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei
$1,603 KL.
No
Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz
$1,466 KL.
No
Zohran / Mamdani
$1,632 KL.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
Thị trường mở: Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$43,739Ngày kết thúc
May 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
Khối lượng
$43,739Ngày kết thúc
May 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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