The Department of Homeland Security partial shutdown, now over 60 days old and the longest in U.S. history since starting February 14, reflects a congressional stalemate over appropriations, particularly funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection amid Democratic concerns on enforcement policies. Senate Democrats passed unanimous continuing resolutions twice to fund non-enforcement DHS components like TSA, FEMA, and CISA, but House Republicans have blocked votes, citing needs for full immigration funding and multi-year plans, as highlighted in recent hearings where officials warned of backlogs, cyber vulnerabilities, and depleted disaster relief funds. Trader consensus at 80% for after April 30 implies skepticism on near-term resolution despite ongoing GOP leadership talks and President Trump's pay memorandums for furloughed staff, with low odds for April windows due to recess delays and procedural hurdles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAfter April 30 79.7%
21-24 tháng 4 5.9%
April 25-28 5.5%
April 29-30 5.5%
$954,117 KL.
$954,117 KL.
17-20 tháng 4
1%
21-24 tháng 4
6%
April 25-28
6%
April 29-30
6%
After April 30
80%
After April 30 79.7%
21-24 tháng 4 5.9%
April 25-28 5.5%
April 29-30 5.5%
$954,117 KL.
$954,117 KL.
17-20 tháng 4
1%
21-24 tháng 4
6%
April 25-28
6%
April 29-30
6%
After April 30
80%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Department of Homeland Security partial shutdown, now over 60 days old and the longest in U.S. history since starting February 14, reflects a congressional stalemate over appropriations, particularly funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection amid Democratic concerns on enforcement policies. Senate Democrats passed unanimous continuing resolutions twice to fund non-enforcement DHS components like TSA, FEMA, and CISA, but House Republicans have blocked votes, citing needs for full immigration funding and multi-year plans, as highlighted in recent hearings where officials warned of backlogs, cyber vulnerabilities, and depleted disaster relief funds. Trader consensus at 80% for after April 30 implies skepticism on near-term resolution despite ongoing GOP leadership talks and President Trump's pay memorandums for furloughed staff, with low odds for April windows due to recess delays and procedural hurdles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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