The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes a mutual-defense framework under which an armed attack on one signatory is treated as an attack on all, amid ongoing regional instability tied to the Iran conflict. Turkish officials have publicly identified Egypt as the leading prospective member once technical and constitutional issues are addressed, while Egyptian statements confirm active review of accession. Erdoğan has invited broader participation by other regional states, with analysts highlighting Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Azerbaijan, and Syria as additional candidates based on existing bilateral ties. Diplomatic exchanges since signing, including Syrian and Bangladeshi comments on potential cooperation, shape trader assessments of near-term expansion by year-end. No accessions have occurred yet, leaving probabilities sensitive to upcoming bilateral summits and formal accession protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Egypt
35%

Syria
29%

Qatar
24%

Bahrain
21%

Morocco
20%

Somalia
18%

Kuwait
18%

Jordan
15%

Iran
11%

United Arab Emirates
8%

Yemen
7%

Oman
7%

Algeria
7%

Iraq
7%

Lebanon
7%

Sudan
6%
$5,256 KL.

Egypt
35%

Syria
29%

Qatar
24%

Bahrain
21%

Morocco
20%

Somalia
18%

Kuwait
18%

Jordan
15%

Iran
11%

United Arab Emirates
8%

Yemen
7%

Oman
7%

Algeria
7%

Iraq
7%

Lebanon
7%

Sudan
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes a mutual-defense framework under which an armed attack on one signatory is treated as an attack on all, amid ongoing regional instability tied to the Iran conflict. Turkish officials have publicly identified Egypt as the leading prospective member once technical and constitutional issues are addressed, while Egyptian statements confirm active review of accession. Erdoğan has invited broader participation by other regional states, with analysts highlighting Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Azerbaijan, and Syria as additional candidates based on existing bilateral ties. Diplomatic exchanges since signing, including Syrian and Bangladeshi comments on potential cooperation, shape trader assessments of near-term expansion by year-end. No accessions have occurred yet, leaving probabilities sensitive to upcoming bilateral summits and formal accession protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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