Recent U.S.-China trade talks center on extending the 2025 tariff truce and implementing reciprocal reductions covering roughly $30 billion in goods each side, including agriculture, energy, and manufacturing inputs. Negotiators have advanced a framework through the newly established Trade Council, with U.S. officials delaying new excess-capacity tariffs until after the late-September Trump-Xi summit to preserve leverage. Both governments have signaled willingness to lower duties in targeted areas while maintaining baseline rates around 20 percent, consistent with prior understandings. These diplomatic steps, including public comments from China's commerce ministry and U.S. trade agencies, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring an agreement by year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật91% khả năng
$256,561 KL.
$256,561 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
91% khả năng
$256,561 KL.
$256,561 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks center on extending the 2025 tariff truce and implementing reciprocal reductions covering roughly $30 billion in goods each side, including agriculture, energy, and manufacturing inputs. Negotiators have advanced a framework through the newly established Trade Council, with U.S. officials delaying new excess-capacity tariffs until after the late-September Trump-Xi summit to preserve leverage. Both governments have signaled willingness to lower duties in targeted areas while maintaining baseline rates around 20 percent, consistent with prior understandings. These diplomatic steps, including public comments from China's commerce ministry and U.S. trade agencies, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring an agreement by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$256,561Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks center on extending the 2025 tariff truce and implementing reciprocal reductions covering roughly $30 billion in goods each side, including agriculture, energy, and manufacturing inputs. Negotiators have advanced a framework through the newly established Trade Council, with U.S. officials delaying new excess-capacity tariffs until after the late-September Trump-Xi summit to preserve leverage. Both governments have signaled willingness to lower duties in targeted areas while maintaining baseline rates around 20 percent, consistent with prior understandings. These diplomatic steps, including public comments from China's commerce ministry and U.S. trade agencies, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring an agreement by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$256,561Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China trade talks center on extending the 2025 tariff truce and implementing reciprocal reductions covering roughly $30 billion in goods each side, including agriculture, energy, and manufacturing inputs. Negotiators have advanced a framework through the newly established Trade Council, with U.S. officials delaying new excess-capacity tariffs until after the late-September Trump-Xi summit to preserve leverage. Both governments have signaled willingness to lower duties in targeted areas while maintaining baseline rates around 20 percent, consistent with prior understandings. These diplomatic steps, including public comments from China's commerce ministry and U.S. trade agencies, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring an agreement by year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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