Recent U.S.-Iran military exchanges, including extensive airstrikes launched in late February 2026 and subsequent naval measures, have centered on degrading Iranian capabilities rather than committing ground forces for territorial control. Negotiations accelerated in June, with a memorandum of understanding finalized around June 14 and formal signing slated for June 19 to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues over a 60-day window. Public polling shows broad disapproval of sustained operations, while administration statements and analyst assessments have consistently highlighted the prohibitive costs, escalation risks, and absence of domestic support for a full-scale invasion. These factors have reinforced trader consensus against U.S. ground intervention materializing before 2027.