Recent diplomatic momentum between the U.S. and Iran, including a June 14-15, 2026, memorandum of understanding framework to extend the April ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end related hostilities in Lebanon, and advance talks on Iran's nuclear program, has reinforced trader expectations against a U.S. invasion before 2027. Following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli air and missile campaign and subsequent retaliatory exchanges, both sides have prioritized mediated negotiations via Pakistan, with the U.S. canceling planned strikes amid reported progress on sanctions relief and asset releases. The absence of ground operations or occupation plans, combined with a 60-day timeline for further diplomacy, aligns with the 87.5% "No" consensus reflecting de-escalation over escalation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiệu Mỹ có xâm lược Iran trước năm 2027?
Liệu Mỹ có xâm lược Iran trước năm 2027?
Có
$37,743,220 KL.
$37,743,220 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
$37,743,220 KL.
$37,743,220 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent diplomatic momentum between the U.S. and Iran, including a June 14-15, 2026, memorandum of understanding framework to extend the April ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end related hostilities in Lebanon, and advance talks on Iran's nuclear program, has reinforced trader expectations against a U.S. invasion before 2027. Following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli air and missile campaign and subsequent retaliatory exchanges, both sides have prioritized mediated negotiations via Pakistan, with the U.S. canceling planned strikes amid reported progress on sanctions relief and asset releases. The absence of ground operations or occupation plans, combined with a 60-day timeline for further diplomacy, aligns with the 87.5% "No" consensus reflecting de-escalation over escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$37,743,220Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent diplomatic momentum between the U.S. and Iran, including a June 14-15, 2026, memorandum of understanding framework to extend the April ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end related hostilities in Lebanon, and advance talks on Iran's nuclear program, has reinforced trader expectations against a U.S. invasion before 2027. Following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli air and missile campaign and subsequent retaliatory exchanges, both sides have prioritized mediated negotiations via Pakistan, with the U.S. canceling planned strikes amid reported progress on sanctions relief and asset releases. The absence of ground operations or occupation plans, combined with a 60-day timeline for further diplomacy, aligns with the 87.5% "No" consensus reflecting de-escalation over escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Khối lượng
$37,743,641Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum between the U.S. and Iran, including a June 14-15, 2026, memorandum of understanding framework to extend the April ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end related hostilities in Lebanon, and advance talks on Iran's nuclear program, has reinforced trader expectations against a U.S. invasion before 2027. Following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli air and missile campaign and subsequent retaliatory exchanges, both sides have prioritized mediated negotiations via Pakistan, with the U.S. canceling planned strikes amid reported progress on sanctions relief and asset releases. The absence of ground operations or occupation plans, combined with a 60-day timeline for further diplomacy, aligns with the 87.5% "No" consensus reflecting de-escalation over escalation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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