Amid heightened U.S.-Cuba tensions driven by President Trump's January executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat and subsequent oil blockade exacerbating Havana's energy crisis and blackouts, trader consensus prices a low likelihood of military invasion at 75.5% for "No." Recent Pentagon acceleration of contingency planning for potential operations, reported April 15 by USA Today following Trump's "stop by Cuba" remarks post-Iran conflict, has been offset by confirmed high-level diplomatic negotiations, including a April 17 Axios-reported U.S. State Department meeting in Havana with Cuban officials tied to Raul Castro. Cuba's military vows defense while offering economic cooperation roadmaps, signaling de-escalation preference over invasion amid U.S. focus on other foreign policy priorities like sanctions and alliances.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$1,429,346 KL.
$1,429,346 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
$1,429,346 KL.
$1,429,346 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Amid heightened U.S.-Cuba tensions driven by President Trump's January executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat and subsequent oil blockade exacerbating Havana's energy crisis and blackouts, trader consensus prices a low likelihood of military invasion at 75.5% for "No." Recent Pentagon acceleration of contingency planning for potential operations, reported April 15 by USA Today following Trump's "stop by Cuba" remarks post-Iran conflict, has been offset by confirmed high-level diplomatic negotiations, including a April 17 Axios-reported U.S. State Department meeting in Havana with Cuban officials tied to Raul Castro. Cuba's military vows defense while offering economic cooperation roadmaps, signaling de-escalation preference over invasion amid U.S. focus on other foreign policy priorities like sanctions and alliances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,429,346Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Amid heightened U.S.-Cuba tensions driven by President Trump's January executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat and subsequent oil blockade exacerbating Havana's energy crisis and blackouts, trader consensus prices a low likelihood of military invasion at 75.5% for "No." Recent Pentagon acceleration of contingency planning for potential operations, reported April 15 by USA Today following Trump's "stop by Cuba" remarks post-Iran conflict, has been offset by confirmed high-level diplomatic negotiations, including a April 17 Axios-reported U.S. State Department meeting in Havana with Cuban officials tied to Raul Castro. Cuba's military vows defense while offering economic cooperation roadmaps, signaling de-escalation preference over invasion amid U.S. focus on other foreign policy priorities like sanctions and alliances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Khối lượng
$1,429,346Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened U.S.-Cuba tensions driven by President Trump's January executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat and subsequent oil blockade exacerbating Havana's energy crisis and blackouts, trader consensus prices a low likelihood of military invasion at 75.5% for "No." Recent Pentagon acceleration of contingency planning for potential operations, reported April 15 by USA Today following Trump's "stop by Cuba" remarks post-Iran conflict, has been offset by confirmed high-level diplomatic negotiations, including a April 17 Axios-reported U.S. State Department meeting in Havana with Cuban officials tied to Raul Castro. Cuba's military vows defense while offering economic cooperation roadmaps, signaling de-escalation preference over invasion amid U.S. focus on other foreign policy priorities like sanctions and alliances.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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