Trader consensus assigns a 94.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, propelled by the company's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 and prior reports of its preference for the exchange to enable early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion. SpaceX, Elon Musk's rocket and satellite leader, conditioned negotiations on Nasdaq's new rule fast-tracking megacap additions after 15 trading days, aligning with its tech-sector profile and Starlink growth trajectory. No developments favor NYSE, historically chosen by some legacy firms but less suited to SpaceX's innovation-driven valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion. Realistic challenges include a late pivot for broader liquidity or regulatory delays ahead of the targeted late-May public filing and mid-June pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich exchange will SpaceX list on?
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ 95%
Other 5.5%
NYSE <1%
$92,311 KL.
$92,311 KL.
NASDAQ
95%
Other
5%
NYSE
<1%
NASDAQ 95%
Other 5.5%
NYSE <1%
$92,311 KL.
$92,311 KL.
NASDAQ
$17,897 KL.
95%
Other
$57,172 KL.
5%
NYSE
$17,242 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 94.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, propelled by the company's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 and prior reports of its preference for the exchange to enable early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion. SpaceX, Elon Musk's rocket and satellite leader, conditioned negotiations on Nasdaq's new rule fast-tracking megacap additions after 15 trading days, aligning with its tech-sector profile and Starlink growth trajectory. No developments favor NYSE, historically chosen by some legacy firms but less suited to SpaceX's innovation-driven valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion. Realistic challenges include a late pivot for broader liquidity or regulatory delays ahead of the targeted late-May public filing and mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$92,311Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 94.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, propelled by the company's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 and prior reports of its preference for the exchange to enable early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion. SpaceX, Elon Musk's rocket and satellite leader, conditioned negotiations on Nasdaq's new rule fast-tracking megacap additions after 15 trading days, aligning with its tech-sector profile and Starlink growth trajectory. No developments favor NYSE, historically chosen by some legacy firms but less suited to SpaceX's innovation-driven valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion. Realistic challenges include a late pivot for broader liquidity or regulatory delays ahead of the targeted late-May public filing and mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$92,311Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 94.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, propelled by the company's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 and prior reports of its preference for the exchange to enable early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion. SpaceX, Elon Musk's rocket and satellite leader, conditioned negotiations on Nasdaq's new rule fast-tracking megacap additions after 15 trading days, aligning with its tech-sector profile and Starlink growth trajectory. No developments favor NYSE, historically chosen by some legacy firms but less suited to SpaceX's innovation-driven valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion. Realistic challenges include a late pivot for broader liquidity or regulatory delays ahead of the targeted late-May public filing and mid-June pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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