Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and discipline campaign within the People’s Liberation Army and Chinese Communist Party continues to drive expectations for further high-level removals in 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marked the peak of a purge that has sidelined over 100 senior officers since 2022, leaving the CMC with only Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin as active military figures. Analysts link these actions to demands for absolute loyalty and operational readiness ahead of the 2027 PLA centenary. Subsequent developments, including additional investigations into other senior cadres, sustain trader focus on potential targets among remaining CMC members, Politburo figures, or service commanders. Scheduled party meetings and annual disciplinary reports could signal next steps.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$196,326 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
8%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Cai Qi
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Wang Huning
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
Li Xi
1%
$196,326 KL.
Dong Jun
$37,165 KL.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$27,062 KL.
6%
Cai Qi
$42,714 KL.
5%
Zhao Leji
$10,887 KL.
5%
Wang Huning
$11,803 KL.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,053 KL.
4%
Wang Yi
$15,608 KL.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,846 KL.
2%
Li Xi
$28,189 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and discipline campaign within the People’s Liberation Army and Chinese Communist Party continues to drive expectations for further high-level removals in 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marked the peak of a purge that has sidelined over 100 senior officers since 2022, leaving the CMC with only Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin as active military figures. Analysts link these actions to demands for absolute loyalty and operational readiness ahead of the 2027 PLA centenary. Subsequent developments, including additional investigations into other senior cadres, sustain trader focus on potential targets among remaining CMC members, Politburo figures, or service commanders. Scheduled party meetings and annual disciplinary reports could signal next steps.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$196,326Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and discipline campaign within the People’s Liberation Army and Chinese Communist Party continues to drive expectations for further high-level removals in 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marked the peak of a purge that has sidelined over 100 senior officers since 2022, leaving the CMC with only Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin as active military figures. Analysts link these actions to demands for absolute loyalty and operational readiness ahead of the 2027 PLA centenary. Subsequent developments, including additional investigations into other senior cadres, sustain trader focus on potential targets among remaining CMC members, Politburo figures, or service commanders. Scheduled party meetings and annual disciplinary reports could signal next steps.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$196,326Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and discipline campaign within the People’s Liberation Army and Chinese Communist Party continues to drive expectations for further high-level removals in 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marked the peak of a purge that has sidelined over 100 senior officers since 2022, leaving the CMC with only Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin as active military figures. Analysts link these actions to demands for absolute loyalty and operational readiness ahead of the 2027 PLA centenary. Subsequent developments, including additional investigations into other senior cadres, sustain trader focus on potential targets among remaining CMC members, Politburo figures, or service commanders. Scheduled party meetings and annual disciplinary reports could signal next steps.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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