Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and rectification campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to drive trader assessments for potential 2026 purges. Recent months have seen the removal of senior CMC figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside Zhong Shaojun and additional generals from the NPC, following earlier expulsions of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These actions reflect efforts to enforce political loyalty, curb factionalism, and address perceived ideological deviations, with investigations citing discipline violations. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026 is expected to formalize further Central Committee expulsions, potentially affecting over 40 members and sustaining momentum into year-end personnel decisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$211,176 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
10%
Zhang Shengmin
7%
Zhao Leji
6%
Cai Qi
5%
Wang Huning
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Yi
1%
Li Xi
1%
Li Qiang
1%
$211,176 KL.
Dong Jun
$39,759 KL.
10%
Zhang Shengmin
$30,008 KL.
7%
Zhao Leji
$11,679 KL.
6%
Cai Qi
$49,413 KL.
5%
Wang Huning
$12,100 KL.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,215 KL.
4%
Wang Yi
$15,739 KL.
1%
Li Xi
$29,232 KL.
1%
Li Qiang
$7,032 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and rectification campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to drive trader assessments for potential 2026 purges. Recent months have seen the removal of senior CMC figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside Zhong Shaojun and additional generals from the NPC, following earlier expulsions of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These actions reflect efforts to enforce political loyalty, curb factionalism, and address perceived ideological deviations, with investigations citing discipline violations. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026 is expected to formalize further Central Committee expulsions, potentially affecting over 40 members and sustaining momentum into year-end personnel decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$211,176Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and rectification campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to drive trader assessments for potential 2026 purges. Recent months have seen the removal of senior CMC figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside Zhong Shaojun and additional generals from the NPC, following earlier expulsions of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These actions reflect efforts to enforce political loyalty, curb factionalism, and address perceived ideological deviations, with investigations citing discipline violations. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026 is expected to formalize further Central Committee expulsions, potentially affecting over 40 members and sustaining momentum into year-end personnel decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$211,176Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and rectification campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to drive trader assessments for potential 2026 purges. Recent months have seen the removal of senior CMC figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside Zhong Shaojun and additional generals from the NPC, following earlier expulsions of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These actions reflect efforts to enforce political loyalty, curb factionalism, and address perceived ideological deviations, with investigations citing discipline violations. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026 is expected to formalize further Central Committee expulsions, potentially affecting over 40 members and sustaining momentum into year-end personnel decisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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