Zhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption and undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system. He was formally removed from the CMC and his National People’s Congress seat by the NPC Standing Committee in late August 2026 amid Xi Jinping’s broader military leadership overhaul. As of mid-September 2026, Chinese authorities have announced no trial date, charges, or sentencing in the case. High-level CCP military investigations typically involve extended internal reviews, party expulsion proceedings, and military justice processes that rarely produce convictions within a single calendar year. Traders assign an 88.5% probability to “No” on a prison sentence before 2027, reflecting these institutional timelines and the absence of any accelerated legal action.