Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party, state apparatus, and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level personnel changes and anti-corruption measures targeting senior military figures. Recent investigations into Central Military Commission members, including Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, have fueled unverified speculation but align with established patterns of top-down enforcement rather than organized challenges to leadership. The system's opacity, extensive surveillance, and emphasis on loyalty have historically suppressed factional threats, supporting trader consensus that no widely reported coup attempt will materialize by the end of 2026. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen health developments affecting top officials or abrupt external crises, though such triggers remain low-probability given institutional structures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?
$137,146 KL.
$137,146 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$137,146 KL.
$137,146 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party, state apparatus, and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level personnel changes and anti-corruption measures targeting senior military figures. Recent investigations into Central Military Commission members, including Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, have fueled unverified speculation but align with established patterns of top-down enforcement rather than organized challenges to leadership. The system's opacity, extensive surveillance, and emphasis on loyalty have historically suppressed factional threats, supporting trader consensus that no widely reported coup attempt will materialize by the end of 2026. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen health developments affecting top officials or abrupt external crises, though such triggers remain low-probability given institutional structures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$137,146Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party, state apparatus, and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level personnel changes and anti-corruption measures targeting senior military figures. Recent investigations into Central Military Commission members, including Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, have fueled unverified speculation but align with established patterns of top-down enforcement rather than organized challenges to leadership. The system's opacity, extensive surveillance, and emphasis on loyalty have historically suppressed factional threats, supporting trader consensus that no widely reported coup attempt will materialize by the end of 2026. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen health developments affecting top officials or abrupt external crises, though such triggers remain low-probability given institutional structures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$137,146Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party, state apparatus, and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level personnel changes and anti-corruption measures targeting senior military figures. Recent investigations into Central Military Commission members, including Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, have fueled unverified speculation but align with established patterns of top-down enforcement rather than organized challenges to leadership. The system's opacity, extensive surveillance, and emphasis on loyalty have historically suppressed factional threats, supporting trader consensus that no widely reported coup attempt will materialize by the end of 2026. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen health developments affecting top officials or abrupt external crises, though such triggers remain low-probability given institutional structures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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