Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through sweeping purges of the People’s Liberation Army and senior Communist Party officials underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive removals of Central Military Commission members and generals since 2025, including high-profile cases like Zhang Youxia, have dismantled potential rival networks and reinforced party oversight of the military ahead of the next national congress. This pattern of internal discipline, combined with the opaque institutional barriers to organized opposition, has sustained stability despite recurring unverified rumors. Late-breaking developments such as factional realignments during leadership transitions or unforeseen external crises could still introduce uncertainty, though current evidence points to continued centralized control.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?
3% khả năng
$155,353 KL.
$155,353 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
3% khả năng
$155,353 KL.
$155,353 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through sweeping purges of the People’s Liberation Army and senior Communist Party officials underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive removals of Central Military Commission members and generals since 2025, including high-profile cases like Zhang Youxia, have dismantled potential rival networks and reinforced party oversight of the military ahead of the next national congress. This pattern of internal discipline, combined with the opaque institutional barriers to organized opposition, has sustained stability despite recurring unverified rumors. Late-breaking developments such as factional realignments during leadership transitions or unforeseen external crises could still introduce uncertainty, though current evidence points to continued centralized control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$155,353Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through sweeping purges of the People’s Liberation Army and senior Communist Party officials underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive removals of Central Military Commission members and generals since 2025, including high-profile cases like Zhang Youxia, have dismantled potential rival networks and reinforced party oversight of the military ahead of the next national congress. This pattern of internal discipline, combined with the opaque institutional barriers to organized opposition, has sustained stability despite recurring unverified rumors. Late-breaking developments such as factional realignments during leadership transitions or unforeseen external crises could still introduce uncertainty, though current evidence points to continued centralized control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$155,353Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through sweeping purges of the People’s Liberation Army and senior Communist Party officials underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive removals of Central Military Commission members and generals since 2025, including high-profile cases like Zhang Youxia, have dismantled potential rival networks and reinforced party oversight of the military ahead of the next national congress. This pattern of internal discipline, combined with the opaque institutional barriers to organized opposition, has sustained stability despite recurring unverified rumors. Late-breaking developments such as factional realignments during leadership transitions or unforeseen external crises could still introduce uncertainty, though current evidence points to continued centralized control.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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