Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and the removal of over 100 top commanders since 2022, have further centralized authority under the Chinese Communist Party and eliminated potential rivals. These actions reflect routine discipline enforcement rather than factional challenges, with no verified reports of organized resistance or coup plotting emerging from credible sources. Traders assign a 97.2% probability to “No” through the end of 2026 because China’s one-party system, pervasive surveillance, and demonstrated military loyalty have historically suppressed such events. Unforeseen developments such as a sudden leadership health crisis or severe external shock could introduce limited uncertainty, though structural controls make a widely reported attempt improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?
$133,740 KL.
$133,740 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$133,740 KL.
$133,740 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and the removal of over 100 top commanders since 2022, have further centralized authority under the Chinese Communist Party and eliminated potential rivals. These actions reflect routine discipline enforcement rather than factional challenges, with no verified reports of organized resistance or coup plotting emerging from credible sources. Traders assign a 97.2% probability to “No” through the end of 2026 because China’s one-party system, pervasive surveillance, and demonstrated military loyalty have historically suppressed such events. Unforeseen developments such as a sudden leadership health crisis or severe external shock could introduce limited uncertainty, though structural controls make a widely reported attempt improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$133,740Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and the removal of over 100 top commanders since 2022, have further centralized authority under the Chinese Communist Party and eliminated potential rivals. These actions reflect routine discipline enforcement rather than factional challenges, with no verified reports of organized resistance or coup plotting emerging from credible sources. Traders assign a 97.2% probability to “No” through the end of 2026 because China’s one-party system, pervasive surveillance, and demonstrated military loyalty have historically suppressed such events. Unforeseen developments such as a sudden leadership health crisis or severe external shock could introduce limited uncertainty, though structural controls make a widely reported attempt improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$133,740Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and the removal of over 100 top commanders since 2022, have further centralized authority under the Chinese Communist Party and eliminated potential rivals. These actions reflect routine discipline enforcement rather than factional challenges, with no verified reports of organized resistance or coup plotting emerging from credible sources. Traders assign a 97.2% probability to “No” through the end of 2026 because China’s one-party system, pervasive surveillance, and demonstrated military loyalty have historically suppressed such events. Unforeseen developments such as a sudden leadership health crisis or severe external shock could introduce limited uncertainty, though structural controls make a widely reported attempt improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp