Russia maintains tight control over its security services and political elite amid ongoing strains from the Ukraine conflict, including Ukrainian drone strikes on energy and military targets, fuel shortages, and recruitment challenges. Public trust in Vladimir Putin has declined from prior peaks but remains above 69 percent in recent polls, with no verified signs of coordinated elite defection or military unrest since the 2023 Wagner events. Kremlin security measures, including heightened personal protections and surveillance of key figures, have addressed earlier 2026 speculation about internal plots without triggering observable challenges. Traders view these factors as supporting continuity through year-end, pricing in the low likelihood of a coup attempt despite economic pressures and public perceptions of political tension.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật6% khả năng
$128,143 KL.
$128,143 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
6% khả năng
$128,143 KL.
$128,143 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains tight control over its security services and political elite amid ongoing strains from the Ukraine conflict, including Ukrainian drone strikes on energy and military targets, fuel shortages, and recruitment challenges. Public trust in Vladimir Putin has declined from prior peaks but remains above 69 percent in recent polls, with no verified signs of coordinated elite defection or military unrest since the 2023 Wagner events. Kremlin security measures, including heightened personal protections and surveillance of key figures, have addressed earlier 2026 speculation about internal plots without triggering observable challenges. Traders view these factors as supporting continuity through year-end, pricing in the low likelihood of a coup attempt despite economic pressures and public perceptions of political tension.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$128,143Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains tight control over its security services and political elite amid ongoing strains from the Ukraine conflict, including Ukrainian drone strikes on energy and military targets, fuel shortages, and recruitment challenges. Public trust in Vladimir Putin has declined from prior peaks but remains above 69 percent in recent polls, with no verified signs of coordinated elite defection or military unrest since the 2023 Wagner events. Kremlin security measures, including heightened personal protections and surveillance of key figures, have addressed earlier 2026 speculation about internal plots without triggering observable challenges. Traders view these factors as supporting continuity through year-end, pricing in the low likelihood of a coup attempt despite economic pressures and public perceptions of political tension.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$128,143Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Russia maintains tight control over its security services and political elite amid ongoing strains from the Ukraine conflict, including Ukrainian drone strikes on energy and military targets, fuel shortages, and recruitment challenges. Public trust in Vladimir Putin has declined from prior peaks but remains above 69 percent in recent polls, with no verified signs of coordinated elite defection or military unrest since the 2023 Wagner events. Kremlin security measures, including heightened personal protections and surveillance of key figures, have addressed earlier 2026 speculation about internal plots without triggering observable challenges. Traders view these factors as supporting continuity through year-end, pricing in the low likelihood of a coup attempt despite economic pressures and public perceptions of political tension.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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