Ongoing Russian missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian cities, paired with Ukrainian counteroffensives and interdiction operations against Russian logistics in Crimea and the Black Sea, have sustained battlefield momentum without creating conditions for direct leader-level engagement. Zelenskyy’s June 2026 open letter proposing face-to-face talks received a swift Kremlin rejection, with Putin stating there was “no point” in such a meeting. Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia diplomatic efforts earlier in the year, including Geneva sessions and Trump administration outreach at the Ankara NATO summit, have not produced a bilateral Putin-Zelenskyy format. Traders therefore price a handshake by year-end as low-probability absent a verified diplomatic breakthrough or ceasefire framework that would compel both sides to the table.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$117,944 KL.
August 31
1%
$117,944 KL.
August 31
1%
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 19, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Russian missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian cities, paired with Ukrainian counteroffensives and interdiction operations against Russian logistics in Crimea and the Black Sea, have sustained battlefield momentum without creating conditions for direct leader-level engagement. Zelenskyy’s June 2026 open letter proposing face-to-face talks received a swift Kremlin rejection, with Putin stating there was “no point” in such a meeting. Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia diplomatic efforts earlier in the year, including Geneva sessions and Trump administration outreach at the Ankara NATO summit, have not produced a bilateral Putin-Zelenskyy format. Traders therefore price a handshake by year-end as low-probability absent a verified diplomatic breakthrough or ceasefire framework that would compel both sides to the table.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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