Ukraine’s leadership has continued to frame NATO membership as a core security objective and potential path to resolving the conflict with Russia, with President Zelenskyy stating on September 11, 2026, that accession would provide guarantees for Europe and could facilitate a diplomatic end to hostilities. NATO allies have reaffirmed support through recent aid pledges, including at the Ankara Summit and Ukraine Defence Contact Group meetings, while recognizing Ukraine as a contributor to Euro-Atlantic security rather than a recipient. No official statements or diplomatic signals from Kyiv indicate willingness to accept a pre-2027 membership restriction, and ongoing bilateral engagements, such as with Canada, emphasize an irreversible path to full integration. These positions align with prior summit commitments and sustain trader consensus that such an agreement remains unlikely in the near term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật7% khả năng
$153,520 KL.
$153,520 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
7% khả năng
$153,520 KL.
$153,520 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine’s leadership has continued to frame NATO membership as a core security objective and potential path to resolving the conflict with Russia, with President Zelenskyy stating on September 11, 2026, that accession would provide guarantees for Europe and could facilitate a diplomatic end to hostilities. NATO allies have reaffirmed support through recent aid pledges, including at the Ankara Summit and Ukraine Defence Contact Group meetings, while recognizing Ukraine as a contributor to Euro-Atlantic security rather than a recipient. No official statements or diplomatic signals from Kyiv indicate willingness to accept a pre-2027 membership restriction, and ongoing bilateral engagements, such as with Canada, emphasize an irreversible path to full integration. These positions align with prior summit commitments and sustain trader consensus that such an agreement remains unlikely in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$153,520Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine’s leadership has continued to frame NATO membership as a core security objective and potential path to resolving the conflict with Russia, with President Zelenskyy stating on September 11, 2026, that accession would provide guarantees for Europe and could facilitate a diplomatic end to hostilities. NATO allies have reaffirmed support through recent aid pledges, including at the Ankara Summit and Ukraine Defence Contact Group meetings, while recognizing Ukraine as a contributor to Euro-Atlantic security rather than a recipient. No official statements or diplomatic signals from Kyiv indicate willingness to accept a pre-2027 membership restriction, and ongoing bilateral engagements, such as with Canada, emphasize an irreversible path to full integration. These positions align with prior summit commitments and sustain trader consensus that such an agreement remains unlikely in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Khối lượng
$153,520Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s leadership has continued to frame NATO membership as a core security objective and potential path to resolving the conflict with Russia, with President Zelenskyy stating on September 11, 2026, that accession would provide guarantees for Europe and could facilitate a diplomatic end to hostilities. NATO allies have reaffirmed support through recent aid pledges, including at the Ankara Summit and Ukraine Defence Contact Group meetings, while recognizing Ukraine as a contributor to Euro-Atlantic security rather than a recipient. No official statements or diplomatic signals from Kyiv indicate willingness to accept a pre-2027 membership restriction, and ongoing bilateral engagements, such as with Canada, emphasize an irreversible path to full integration. These positions align with prior summit commitments and sustain trader consensus that such an agreement remains unlikely in the near term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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