Ukraine's wartime martial law has consolidated authority under President Zelenskyy, postponed elections, and directed security services toward external threats rather than domestic power struggles, contributing to trader consensus that a coup attempt remains unlikely before year-end. Recent military leadership transitions, including the July 2026 appointment of a new commander-in-chief amid public protests over defense procurement and anticorruption concerns, reflect internal frictions but have not produced organized challenges to the government. Ongoing battlefield developments, with Ukrainian forces reporting localized gains against Russian advances in Donetsk and stalled U.S.-mediated diplomatic efforts, keep institutional focus outward. Prior security service disruptions of pro-Russian plots and steady polling for the incumbent further support assessments of resilience, though any escalation in corruption scandals or shifts in the peace process could introduce new variables within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$169,153 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
7%
$169,153 KL.
December 31
$151,317 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's wartime martial law has consolidated authority under President Zelenskyy, postponed elections, and directed security services toward external threats rather than domestic power struggles, contributing to trader consensus that a coup attempt remains unlikely before year-end. Recent military leadership transitions, including the July 2026 appointment of a new commander-in-chief amid public protests over defense procurement and anticorruption concerns, reflect internal frictions but have not produced organized challenges to the government. Ongoing battlefield developments, with Ukrainian forces reporting localized gains against Russian advances in Donetsk and stalled U.S.-mediated diplomatic efforts, keep institutional focus outward. Prior security service disruptions of pro-Russian plots and steady polling for the incumbent further support assessments of resilience, though any escalation in corruption scandals or shifts in the peace process could introduce new variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$169,153Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's wartime martial law has consolidated authority under President Zelenskyy, postponed elections, and directed security services toward external threats rather than domestic power struggles, contributing to trader consensus that a coup attempt remains unlikely before year-end. Recent military leadership transitions, including the July 2026 appointment of a new commander-in-chief amid public protests over defense procurement and anticorruption concerns, reflect internal frictions but have not produced organized challenges to the government. Ongoing battlefield developments, with Ukrainian forces reporting localized gains against Russian advances in Donetsk and stalled U.S.-mediated diplomatic efforts, keep institutional focus outward. Prior security service disruptions of pro-Russian plots and steady polling for the incumbent further support assessments of resilience, though any escalation in corruption scandals or shifts in the peace process could introduce new variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$169,153Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's wartime martial law has consolidated authority under President Zelenskyy, postponed elections, and directed security services toward external threats rather than domestic power struggles, contributing to trader consensus that a coup attempt remains unlikely before year-end. Recent military leadership transitions, including the July 2026 appointment of a new commander-in-chief amid public protests over defense procurement and anticorruption concerns, reflect internal frictions but have not produced organized challenges to the government. Ongoing battlefield developments, with Ukrainian forces reporting localized gains against Russian advances in Donetsk and stalled U.S.-mediated diplomatic efforts, keep institutional focus outward. Prior security service disruptions of pro-Russian plots and steady polling for the incumbent further support assessments of resilience, though any escalation in corruption scandals or shifts in the peace process could introduce new variables within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp